Economy

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Model-based recession probability since 1976

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US 10-year treasury yield - actual vs. model estimated since 1985

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GMO commodity index since 1900

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Real price of WTI crude oil, in 2022 $ since 1900

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Best, worst, and average rolling 18-year periods since 1983

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Projected cost of a four-year college education

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Bitcoin = 24.5 ounces of gold and counting

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College tuition vs. other expenses since 1983

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CPI annual inflation rate vs. recessions since 1948

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Bear markets have been relatively short but painful

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